All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Crown Point Invitational |
Jack Bransford Classic |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conf. |
Lowell Last Chance Twilight |
Highland Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/16 |
8/22 |
8/29 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/6 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
| Team Rating |
355 |
369 |
340 |
279 |
301 |
357 |
320 |
572 |
369 |
NEI |
331 |
361 |
391 |
405 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
369 |
340 |
279 |
301 |
357 |
320 |
355 |
369 |
NEI |
324 |
359 |
367 |
387 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Crown Point Invitational |
Jack Bransford Classic |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conf. |
Lowell Last Chance Twilight |
Highland Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 134 |
Natalie Kransky |
10 |
20:01 |
20:23 |
20:03 |
19:30 |
19:43 |
20:00 |
19:38 |
|
20:01 |
|
19:51 |
20:04 |
20:18 |
20:28 |
| 139 |
Rachel Narjes |
11 |
20:02 |
20:20 |
20:13 |
19:48 |
19:56 |
20:18 |
20:06 |
|
20:04 |
|
19:43 |
20:05 |
20:06 |
20:07 |
| 210 |
Carly Davis |
11 |
20:24 |
21:09 |
20:27 |
20:08 |
20:15 |
20:21 |
20:09 |
|
20:38 |
|
20:06 |
20:29 |
20:35 |
20:30 |
| 212 |
Abigail Martisek |
12 |
20:24 |
20:34 |
20:18 |
19:54 |
20:10 |
20:56 |
20:05 |
|
20:27 |
|
21:02 |
20:20 |
20:10 |
20:33 |
| 228 |
Addison Roth |
9 |
20:27 |
20:19 |
20:12 |
20:03 |
19:53 |
20:22 |
20:58 |
|
20:55 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 278 |
Taylor Kosiek |
11 |
20:35 |
20:19 |
20:13 |
|
|
|
20:27 |
21:00 |
20:25 |
|
20:26 |
20:29 |
20:52 |
20:53 |
| 316 |
Sydney Churilla |
9 |
20:45 |
20:41 |
20:23 |
20:30 |
20:22 |
20:22 |
20:44 |
20:50 |
20:50 |
|
20:35 |
21:33 |
21:20 |
20:46 |
| 323 |
Emily Thomas |
12 |
20:46 |
20:51 |
20:29 |
20:26 |
20:17 |
20:46 |
20:48 |
|
20:47 |
|
20:35 |
20:58 |
21:00 |
21:15 |
| 331 |
Nicole Vollrath |
9 |
20:47 |
21:11 |
20:39 |
21:15 |
|
20:20 |
20:27 |
20:57 |
20:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 416 |
Isabelle Martisek |
9 |
21:04 |
20:59 |
20:59 |
|
|
21:34 |
20:53 |
21:02 |
21:08 |
NEI |
|
|
|
|
| 497 |
Krista Kulacz |
11 |
21:18 |
20:18 |
21:45 |
21:01 |
21:04 |
21:26 |
21:18 |
21:31 |
21:20 |
NEI |
|
|
|
|
| 543 |
Riley Knestrict |
12 |
21:25 |
21:06 |
21:05 |
20:55 |
21:01 |
21:46 |
21:29 |
|
22:04 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 643 |
Marie Weber |
9 |
21:42 |
|
22:05 |
21:31 |
|
21:35 |
21:31 |
22:08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 900 |
Amanda Spanier |
10 |
22:21 |
22:16 |
21:56 |
21:44 |
|
22:30 |
|
22:15 |
23:25 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,019 |
Kylie Carroll |
11 |
22:37 |
22:30 |
22:18 |
22:59 |
|
22:10 |
22:33 |
22:33 |
22:56 |
NEI |
|
|
|
|
| 1,187 |
Abigail Barrett |
11 |
22:58 |
24:13 |
23:53 |
23:09 |
|
22:54 |
22:29 |
22:39 |
22:50 |
NEI |
|
|
|
|
| 1,415 |
Arianna Nash |
9 |
23:28 |
23:17 |
|
23:34 |
|
23:27 |
|
23:32 |
23:35 |
NEI |
|
|
|
|
|
Nora Markley |
10 |
23:41 |
24:34 |
24:25 |
|
|
|
|
23:42 |
23:05 |
NEI |
|
|
|
|
|
Brenna Pancheo |
9 |
23:42 |
|
24:43 |
23:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Khaila Freitag |
11 |
23:52 |
|
24:23 |
24:10 |
|
23:49 |
|
|
24:04 |
NEI |
|
|
|
|
|
Samantha Lazowski |
10 |
24:57 |
23:34 |
23:17 |
23:27 |
|
24:23 |
26:14 |
25:04 |
25:23 |
NEI |
|
|
|
|
|
Cylea Loeffler |
9 |
25:22 |
23:20 |
25:04 |
25:29 |
|
27:46 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Alissya Popoca |
12 |
29:30 |
23:17 |
|
40:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
18.3 |
437 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
5.2 |
6.0 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
7.6 |
7.9 |
9.1 |
10.2 |
13.3 |
6.3 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
3.4 |
149 |
14.7 |
21.0 |
22.6 |
17.3 |
10.7 |
6.3 |
3.6 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
33 |
94.2 |
5.5 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
15 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Natalie Kransky |
100% |
105.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.6% |
| Rachel Narjes |
100% |
107.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.4% |
| Carly Davis |
100% |
139.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.5% |
| Abigail Martisek |
100% |
139.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
| Addison Roth |
100% |
142.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
| Taylor Kosiek |
100% |
153.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Sydney Churilla |
100% |
165.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Natalie Kransky |
100% |
23.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
5.8 |
5.4 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
5.4 |
4.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Rachel Narjes |
100% |
24.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Carly Davis |
100% |
42.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Abigail Martisek |
100% |
42.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Addison Roth |
100% |
45.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Taylor Kosiek |
100% |
54.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sydney Churilla |
100% |
66.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Natalie Kransky |
100% |
3.1 |
|
13.9 |
32.8 |
25.5 |
12.8 |
6.8 |
4.0 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Rachel Narjes |
100% |
3.4 |
|
12.0 |
28.4 |
26.8 |
14.1 |
8.2 |
4.7 |
2.7 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Carly Davis |
100% |
7.6 |
|
0.2 |
1.7 |
4.9 |
10.8 |
13.0 |
12.7 |
11.8 |
10.5 |
8.7 |
7.2 |
5.5 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Abigail Martisek |
100% |
7.7 |
|
0.3 |
1.6 |
4.6 |
10.1 |
12.6 |
12.5 |
12.5 |
11.3 |
8.6 |
7.0 |
5.6 |
4.1 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Addison Roth |
100% |
8.3 |
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
3.4 |
8.2 |
10.3 |
12.0 |
11.6 |
11.4 |
9.8 |
8.2 |
6.5 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Taylor Kosiek |
100% |
10.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
4.4 |
6.1 |
8.3 |
9.4 |
10.1 |
10.8 |
9.6 |
8.4 |
7.3 |
6.0 |
5.1 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sydney Churilla |
100% |
13.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
2.9 |
4.2 |
5.9 |
7.4 |
8.7 |
9.3 |
9.7 |
9.5 |
8.6 |
7.5 |
6.8 |
5.3 |
3.7 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Natalie Kransky |
1.0 |
51.8 |
35.7 |
8.6 |
2.7 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rachel Narjes |
1.2 |
42.3 |
42.3 |
10.7 |
3.2 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Carly Davis |
3.6 |
2.1 |
7.1 |
24.7 |
25.4 |
19.5 |
12.7 |
6.2 |
1.8 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Abigail Martisek |
3.7 |
1.8 |
7.2 |
24.5 |
24.2 |
20.1 |
13.1 |
6.5 |
2.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Addison Roth |
4.1 |
1.1 |
4.8 |
18.8 |
23.2 |
23.7 |
16.2 |
8.4 |
3.2 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Taylor Kosiek |
5.4 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
6.4 |
11.5 |
18.9 |
27.2 |
21.2 |
10.3 |
2.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sydney Churilla |
6.7 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
6.8 |
16.0 |
32.4 |
27.8 |
10.4 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
